中国经济急剧放缓,习近平面临严峻挑战

坏消息:明年你可能没有工作了。
好消息:今年春运的票会比较好买。

中国东莞——中国消费者和企业正在失去信心。汽车销售大跌。房产市场动荡。距春节尚有两个月,一些工厂已提前给工人放假。

近几个月,中国经济增速大幅下降,给国家主席习近平带来了其执政六年以来可能最大的挑战。在国内,他面临重振经济增长可能会加重该国一些长期问题的困难抉择,比如沉重的债务负担等。在国际舞台上,随着特朗普总统的贸易战加剧,他已被迫对美国做出让步。

Source: 中国经济急剧放缓,习近平面临严峻挑战 – 纽约时报中文网

China’s Mountain of U.S. Government Bonds Shrinks for Fifth Straight Month

外汇储备数据出来了,证实了正在抛美债救人民币。

12-month rolling net sales of U.S. Treasury bonds by China

The yuan is likely to fall in 2019, moving beyond seven to the dollar and ending the year at around 7.1, according to J.P. Morgan economists and strategists, driven largely by the trade dispute with the U.S. The strategists expect China’s foreign-exchange reserves to shrink moderately, from $3.04 trillion at the end of this year to $2.89 trillion at the end of 2019.

Other analysts agree that the yuan will break past seven to the greenback; Daiwa Capital Markets, Bank of America Merrill Lynch and Goldman Sachs expect the currency to pass that level at some point in the next year.

Source: China’s Mountain of U.S. Government Bonds Shrinks for Fifth Straight Month – WSJ

Roger Stone Admits Spreading Lies on InfoWars

郭文贵的又一场胜利。

Mr. Guo drew scrutiny from Beijing in 2017 after he launched a high-stakes social media campaign alleging wrongdoing and corruption by China’s political and business elites. Beijing declared Mr. Guo a criminal suspect and requested an Interpol arrest notice against him, while Mr. Guo applied for asylum in the U.S., making him a flashpoint in China-U.S. relations.

Mr. Guo became a target of Mr. Stone’s a few months after launching his campaign, according to the lawsuit. In an interview last month Mr. Guo claimed that Mr. Stone was paid to make the defamatory remarks about him on InfoWars. He said the payment ultimately came from a Chinese-American media tycoon named Bruno Wu, whom Mr. Guo previously accused of being a spy for the Chinese government. Mr. Wu has filed a defamation lawsuit against Mr. Guo for these and other claims.

Mr. Stone’s settlement identifies Mr. Wu as “the apparent source of the information” about Mr. Guo and says it was conveyed to him by a former member of Mr. Trump’s presidential campaign.

Mr. Stone said he should not have relied on the former staffer, Sam Nunberg, for the information. Both Mr. Nunberg and Mr. Wu declined to comment.

Source: Roger Stone Admits Spreading Lies on InfoWars – WSJ

中国庆祝邓小平改革之际习近平强人统治遭批

党内已经在分裂。

中国国务院总理李克强上月访问新加坡时,在两次演讲中都没有像往常那样提及习近平。取而代之的是,他说起了已故领导人邓小平。邓小平因支持市场化改革而受到尊敬,他还对一人统治持拒斥态度,认为这在毛泽东时代导致中国走上毁灭之路。李克强是中国名义上的二号领导人,但近年来失去了对经济政策的影响力,这方面权力已转而握在习近平手中。

伦敦亚非学院中国研究院(SOAS China Institute)负责人曾锐生(Steve Tsang)表示,对于习近平的做法,一直存在不同意见和不满情绪。他指出,中国经济疲软以及与美国的贸易战是引发不满的原因。

曾锐生和党内人士表示,习近平仍掌控大局,没有出现有组织的反对活动或有号召力的人物。习近平周二预计将在北京的人民大会堂发表全国电视讲话为其议程争取更多支持,就在40年前的今天,邓小平召开了一次共产党高层会议,官方历史称此次会议开启了中国的“改革开放”时代。

Source: 中国庆祝邓小平改革之际习近平强人统治遭批 – 华尔街日报